Trump’s Pollster Puts Fidesz Ahead Nationally by 5 Points

Prime Minister Viktor Orbán of Hungary in January 2026
Miniszterelnok.hu
In the final poll by the American polling firm McLaughlin & Associates ahead of the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán is leading MEP Péter Magyar's Tisza Party by 5.3 points nationally, 42.6–37.3. McLaughlin only released one public national poll for the 2024 US presidential election, but that one poll proved to be remarkably accurate.

The American polling firm McLaughlin & Associates, which provided internal polling for President Donald Trump’s campaign in the 2024 US presidential election, has released its final national poll for the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election.

Just two days before the people of Hungary head to the polls, the Fidesz–KDNP coalition led by Prime Minister Viktor Orbán of Hungary is ahead of the primary opposition Tisza Party, led by MEP Péter Magyar, by 5.3 points nationally. Fidesz is at 42.6 per cent, while Tisza is at 37.3 per cent, according to the American pollster.

As for the other political parties, the far-right Our Homeland Movement’s (Mi Hazánk Mozgalom) support has been measured at 7 per cent, above the 5-per-cent threshold to delegate at least one Member of Parliament from the national list; while the centre-left Democratic Coalition (Demokratikus Koalíció, DK) is just below the threshold, at 4.3 per cent.

The poll was conducted with a sample of 1,000 respondents. It was done with special due diligence, the Hungarian news site Index reports, as each respondent was interviewed in person. Data collection ended on 7 April, five days ahead of the election.

After President Biden dropped out, McLaughlin & Associates released only one public poll for the national race between Vice President Kamala Harris of the Democratic Party and Former President Donald Trump of the Republican Party in the 2024 US presidential election. However, that one poll, released in late July, ended up being remarkably accurate: it showed President Trump up two points nationally over Vice President Harris, and he ended up winning the popular vote by 1.5 points in November.


Related articles:

McLaughlin Poll Shows Orbán Up Six Points Five Weeks before Election
What Are Viktor Orbán’s Real Chances in the Hungarian Election?

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In the final poll by the American polling firm McLaughlin & Associates ahead of the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán is leading MEP Péter Magyar's Tisza Party by 5.3 points nationally, 42.6–37.3. McLaughlin only released one public national poll for the 2024 US presidential election, but that one poll proved to be remarkably accurate.

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At a time when public debate is increasingly polarized and superficial, Hungarian Conservative remains committed to depth and independent thought.

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Please consider supporting our mission.