For the first time in the 2024 primary season, Democrats outnumbered Republicans in turnout in a swing state. President Trump also got a substantially lower vote total than President Biden. However, Pennsylvania was the only state in which President Trump was polling behind President Biden to begin with, and he can still win in November by taking states where he has been performing better, both in the polls and in the primaries.
Former President Trump’s criminal trial has begun in Manhattan, which some polling data suggests could cost him his victory in the presidential election in November. However, President Biden is not in a great position either as the economy and the state of foreign affairs have recently worsened, and he was already struggling with a low approval rating on these issues. How will all this end?
The voters of Wisconsin voted to amend their state constitution, putting stricter election rules in place. Also, just like in all other swing states, the Republican primary turnout outnumbered that of the Democrats. However, President Biden got a higher vote total (due to his higher vote share) than President Trump in a swing state primary for the first time—what does this all mean?
Based on his primary model, political scientist Helmut Norpoth gives incumbent Joe Biden of the Democratic Party a 75 per cent chance for re-election. However, the same model was widely inaccurate in 2020, giving Donald Trump a 91 per cent chance of becoming president again. Its 2024 forecast again goes against aggregate polling data and consensus in the news and betting industry.
‘It’s just unarguably the case that whatever it is they accuse someone like Viktor Orbán of doing, the progressive left in America, it is quite clear that these conditions apply in immeasurably more effect to the American system.’
‘A double standard is to be expected. It is what we, conservatives always have to live with, because the left controls all these institutions and communication channels, and the left will do everything it can to help their favoured candidate win.’
The Prime Minister of Hungary talked about the need for a global movement ‘advocating for justice, tradition, families, and the people’ at the event.
The president of MRC Free Speech America reminded that the only criminal charges of the many against President Trump that have any legal merit are the ones related to mishandling classified information. However, it is actually common for Presidents to keep some classified documents in their private residences from their times in office: even Joe Biden did so after leaving the Vice Presidency, yet he was never charged. Mr Schneider also opined that we would not see a criminal trial of Donald Trump before the election, as by the time the Supreme Court hands down its ruling on his immunity case, there would be no time to put him on trial before 5 November.
President Trump won 14 out of the 15 states up for grabs on Super Tuesday, with Nikki Haley taking Vermont. Meanwhile, President Biden is falling short in more than one way in primary trends in the 21st century for incumbent presidents.
All nine justices agreed that the 14th Amendment does not give states the power to bar someone from running for federal office, only Congress has that power. Therefore, states cannot remove former President Donald Trump from the ballot in the 2024 presidential election.
According to a recent poll, an absolute majority of Hungarians would prefer to see Donald Trump as the next president of the United States. The survey results indicate that the Hungarian government and Hungarian voters agree that the return of the former Republican president would be more beneficial for Hungary.
Former US President Donad Trump has been frequently speaking of Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán in complementary terms on the campaign trail lately. The two statesmen met once already: in May 2019, Trump hosted Orbán in the White House.
The Heritage Foundation’s senior fellow shared his expertise and insight into how the race is shaping up between incumbent President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump.
President Trump has won six out of six primary contests so far, the latest one in the key swing state of Michigan. The turnout level on the two sides, along with current polling, suggests that he is in a good position to take back the White House in the autumn.
Presidents’ Day was originally celebrated on George Washington’s birthday, 22 February, but it was later moved to the third Monday in every February—which is today. Since this is a presidential election year in the United States, let’s take a look at the way the very first POTUS led the country in its infancy.
While Robert K. Hur’s special counsel did not recommend criminal charges against President Biden, it did raise additional concerns about his mental acuity. Also, given that former President Trump was indicted on 38 counts of felony charges for virtually the same conduct, it raises suspicions of political bias within the US Justice Department.
‘In America, we have so many horrible things happening, you know, with the gender ideologies, the LGBTQ, and the open border, and all these different things. So, when we conservatives in America look around for friends, we don’t have to look much further than Hungary to see that you guys are doing a lot of things right that we’d like to replicate.’
Bryan E. Leib, Márton Ugrósdy, and Magor Ernyei were the distinguished panellists in a discussion at the Center for Fundamental Rights on how this year’s US presidential election is shaping up to be, and what effect it could have on Europe and Hungary.
The columnist argues that, despite the best efforts of the liberal elite in the media to convince them otherwise, Americans widely disapprove of President Biden’s economic and immigration policies, which he is confident will be enough to propel President Trump to victory in the autumn.
Donald Trump is currently leading Joe Biden in the RealClearPolitics polling aggregate by a wider margin than what Republicans ever held against Democrats leading up to the 2022 midterms, 4.3 points. Independent and third-party candidates also give the GOP a better opportunity for victory than in 2022.
Governor Ron DeSantis has often been accused by the left-wing mainstream media in the US of closely emulating Hungary’s PM Viktor Orbán. However, Orbán has always shown his preference for Former President Trump. With DeSantis dropping out, are Viktor Orbán’s ideas out of the race or not?
Despite three other major candidates still in the running on the Republican side, Former President Donald Trump still got an overall majority of the vote, 51 per cent. An easy primary election victory for an out-of-office candidate is a very good sign for the general election as well.
Péter Szijjártó opined that, given all the elections taking place in the world from the United States to Europe, this year will be the political equivalent of the Super Bowl.
In a 4–3 decision, the Colorado Supreme Court ruled that former POTUS Donald Trump’s name cannot appear on the ballot for the Republican primary election in the state in March, as, according to their interpretation, he engaged in an insurrection in January 2021. The Trump campaign has already announced that they would appeal to the US Supreme Court; and Hungarian Foreign Minister Szijjártó has denounced the decision.
Approximately a thousand guests, including numerous conservative public figures, politicians, business leaders, and influencers, gathered in Manhattan at the gala of one of the oldest Republican clubs in the United States.
‘I think that’s why the European Commission does not take the approach with Eurobarometer that the Hungarian government is taking with the National Consultations—because they would realize that Europeans are more supportive of centre-right policies than they would want to put their name and admit to.’
Despite having only two Democrats and eight Republicans on the ballot, Jeff Landry, with the endorsement of President Trump, managed to win over 50 per cent of the popular vote in the primary, and thus became the next governor of Louisiana. What does this mean for 2024?
The former President has faced a deluge of legal accusations, both criminal and civil, to the point where it is almost becoming comical. Donald Trump has been indicted four times by now on nearly 100 felony charges. However, this seems to be helping his re-election prospects, as opposed to hurting them.
The former POTUS is also up by 1.1 points in the RealClearPolitics polling aggregate, which tends to underestimate his performance in presidential elections.
It is evident that the 2024 field of candidates is double-edged. While it is incredibly crowded and diverse, it is dominated by Biden and Trump.
Hungarian Conservative is a quarterly magazine on contemporary political, philosophical and cultural issues from a conservative perspective.