New Poll Shows Orbán up 18 Points after Trump Visit

US President Donald Trump (L) and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán
White House/X
The Trump–Orbán summit seems to have shifted political perceptions at home: 50 per cent of Hungarians now believe Viktor Orbán will win the 2026 election, according to Nézőpont. His main challenger, Péter Magyar, trails at 32 per cent—a gap analysts link to the prime minister’s high-profile successes in Washington.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s meeting with US President Donald Trump last week appears to have boosted the reigning leader’s chances in the upcoming 2026 parliamentary election. According to the latest survey by the Nézőpont Institute, 50 per cent of Hungarians consider Viktor Orbán the most likely winner of next year’s vote.

The poll, conducted between 10 and 12 November on a sample representative of the adult population, found that 32 per cent of Hungarians see Péter Magyar, leader of the opposition TISZA Party, as the most probable winner of the election.

‘Among undecided respondents, 42 per cent believe Viktor Orbán will win the election’

Perceptions of who is likely to win are especially important among undecided voters, who often gravitate toward the candidate they view as the frontrunner. Among undecided respondents, 42 per cent believe Viktor Orbán will win the election, while only 10 per cent think the same of Péter Magyar. Nearly half of this group (48 per cent) could not form an opinion or may stay away from the ballot box altogether.

Orbán visited Washington, DC, on Friday, 7 November, to meet with Donald Trump. The long-awaited summit resulted in a series of agreements between the two countries, spanning energy, defence, technology, the economy, and education. Orbán secured exemptions from US sanctions on Russian energy imports, as well as an American ‘financial shield’ against external financial, speculative, or political attacks. The meeting is widely regarded as a success for Viktor Orbán and was expected to bolster his poll ratings.


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The Trump–Orbán summit seems to have shifted political perceptions at home: 50 per cent of Hungarians now believe Viktor Orbán will win the 2026 election, according to Nézőpont. His main challenger, Péter Magyar, trails at 32 per cent—a gap analysts link to the prime minister’s high-profile successes in Washington.

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