A new poll viewed by The Daily Mail shows an unprecedented majority for the right-wing, anti-immigration Reform UK party in modern British political history. According to the survey, Nigel Farage’s party would secure 445 mandates in the House of Commons—where 326 are required for a majority—if elections were held tomorrow.
The second-largest party would be the governing Labour Party, projected to fall to 73 MPs from the current 399, while the Conservative Party would be reduced to just seven seats, down from 121. The survey also forecasts the Liberal Democrats to win 42 seats, the Scottish National Party 41, Jeremy Corbyn’s Your Party 13, the Greens six, and Plaid Cymru five. The poll of 7,449 British adults was conducted between 10 and 18 September.
In percentage terms, Reform UK stands at around 36 per cent, Labour at 21 per cent, and the Conservatives at 15 per cent. ‘Our extraordinary journey continues,’ Farage wrote on X in response to the results.
The new survey comes as ordinary Britons grow increasingly disillusioned with both Labour and the Conservatives, whom they see as responsible for the myriad crises facing their country—from mass migration to rising governmental overreach in restricting free speech. In September, hundreds of thousands of people took to the streets to participate in Tommy Robinson’s ‘Unite the Kingdom’ march, demonstrating primarily against mass migration and in support of remigration.
Speaking to Hungarian Conservative in September, British conservative commentator Connor Tomlinson said that the two-party system in the UK is severely damaged and collapsing as Reform UK continues to lead in every credible poll. He predicted a meltdown for both Labour and the Conservatives, stating that ‘by the time of the next election, Reform will not only be leading in the polls, as they are now, but will also have become the kind of party we want them to be in order to address these existential threats.’
According to Tomlinson, the question is what kind of Reform government will emerge: one resembling Donald Trump’s first term, or one that is ‘Trump 2.0 from the start.’ He argued that Britain needs the latter to address the challenges it currently faces.
The next general election is officially scheduled for 2029; however, the prime minister could choose to dissolve Parliament and call a snap election should circumstances warrant it.
Nigel Farage and Reform UK are close allies of Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and Fidesz. In September, Balázs Orbán, the political director to the prime minister, was interviewed by Farage on GB News about strategies to combat illegal migration.
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